At The Financial Times: At the creation of the new myth of ‘Fast Radicalization’, a comment by Political Observer

The invention of the idea of ‘Fast Radicalization’ is a propaganda tool that places everyone in the Muslim minority in France under suspicion, that is it’s reason d’etre ! It discards the practice, even the idea of evidentiary based investigation, in favor of a new kind of political Spectral Evidence, a notorious tool of Cotton Mather in the Salem Witch Trials. All quotes from this essay,I won’t call it a ‘news story’, in italics.

‘French police arrested a man and a woman on Sunday as new details suggested the truck driver who killed 84 people in Nice and who was described by Islamist militant group Isis as one of its “soldiers” may have radicalised shortly before committing his attack.’…

‘In an interview with newspaper Le Journal du Dimanche, Manuel Valls, French prime minister, said: “The investigation will establish the facts, but we know now that the killer was radicalised very quickly.

The claim on Saturday morning by Islamic State and the fast radicalisation of the killer confirms the Islamist nature of this attack.” ‘

‘Bernard Cazeneuve, interior minister, said on Saturday that people interrogated by police had indicated that he had undergone a rapid transformation from someone with for a long time no apparent interest in religion and who had never been flagged by intelligence services as a potential security threat.

“It shows the extreme difficulty of the anti-terrorist fight because we are dealing with individuals who are receptive to Daesh’s message and engage in extremely violent acts without necessarily having participated in [military] combats or getting trained,” Mr Cazeneuve added, using an alternative name for Isis.’

Anonymous sources quoted:

‘A person close to the investigation said that contacts in the phone found in the truck that Bouhlel used to plough into the crowd celebrating Bastille Day on Thursday evening were local jihadis.’

Then the briefest sketch of the perpetrator of this crime, Bouhlel, emerges out of the dross of hysteria, speculation and unconfirmed reports:

Tunisia-born Bouhlel had a conviction for affray but had not been to jail, unlike some other jihadis who were radicalised in prison.

A father of three, he lived in Nice with a French visa, had separated from his wife several years ago and worked as a delivery driver. He had rented the 19-tonne truck he drove to commit his massacre three days before the attack.

RTL, the French radio station, reported that his father in the town of Msaken, Tunisia, produced a 2004 psychiatric order for his son.

Closing the essay is a statement by presidential aspirant Alain Juppé :

Alain Juppé, the former prime minister who is seeking the centre-right presidential nomination, on Sunday criticised the Hollande government for its “fatalism.”

“It’s clear today that we need to switch gears in this fight that is a permanent and extremely serious threat,” he told Le Parisien.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/cf12a30e-4c01-11e6-8172-e39ecd3b86fc.html#axzz4EfcjTlyF

I thought Mr. Juppé’s comments echoed a  recent essay at the Financial Times by policy/security expert François Heisbourg, the reader can judge for herself if my comment is valid:

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b25fe8cc-4a6a-11e6-8d68-72e9211e86ab.html#axzz4EaXdjrIB

Political Observer

 

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

At The Financial Times: my reply to KissMeHardy

KissMeHardy,

Thank you for your comment. ‘Perhaps Stephen you can regale us with your expert view, after all you website proclaims you are an ‘intellectual’. I think I have already expressed my opinion on Mr. Heisbourg’s combination of self-advertisement and scaremongering propaganda: where he shamefully trolls for customers, as an Expert in Security matters. Yet the age of the Technocrat, the Expert, once celebrated by Walter Lippmann, has come to what? After so many failures: Neo-Liberalism, The Economy, Western Foreign Policy and it’s endless wars, and the rise of the Populists both Left and Right without forgetting ISIS as the watersheds of Afghanistan and Iraq, not to speak of the EU as perhaps coming apart? Mr. Heisbourg folds into this chaotic/hysteric realm unrelated Mass Murderers, without any evidence to connect them to Terrorists: by an act of personal fiat? Dangerous and preposterous, but as I said the motto here is never let a crisis go to waste. Some example of The Failure of The Elites follow:

Date: January 14,2014

Headline: Failing elites threaten our future

Sub-headline: Leaders richly rewarded for mediocrity cannot be relied upon when things go wrong

By Martin Wolf

In 2014, Europeans commemorate the 100th anniversary of the start of the first world war. This calamity launched three decades of savagery and stupidity, destroying most of what was good in the European civilisation of the beginning of the 20th century. In the end, as Churchill foretold in June 1940, “the New World, with all its power and might”, had to step “forth to the rescue and the liberation of the old”.

The failures of Europe’s political, economic and intellectual elites created the disaster that befell their peoples between 1914 and 1945. It was their ignorance and prejudices that allowed catastrophe: false ideas and bad values were at work. These included the atavistic belief, not just that empires were magnificent and profitable, but that war was glorious and controllable. It was as if a will to collective suicide seized the leaders of great nations.

Complex societies rely on their elites to get things, if not right, at least not grotesquely wrong. When elites fail, the political order is likely to collapse, as happened to the defeated powers after first world war. The Russian, German and Austrian empires vanished, bequeathing weak successors succeeded by despotism. The first world war also destroyed the foundations of the 19th century economy: free trade and the gold standard. Attempts to restore it produced more elite failures, this time of Americans as much as Europeans. The Great Depression did much to create the political conditions for the second world war. The cold war, a conflict of democracies with a dictatorship sired by the first world war, followed.

The dire results of elite failures are not surprising. An implicit deal exists between elites and the people: the former obtain the privileges and perquisites of power and property; the latter, in return, obtain security and, in modern times, a measure of prosperity. If elites fail, they risk being replaced. The replacement of failed economic, bureaucratic and intellectual elites is always fraught. But, in a democracy, replacement of political elites at least is swift and clean. In a despotism, it will usually be slow and almost always bloody.

This is not just history. It remains true today. If one looks for direct lessons from the first world war for our world, we see them not in contemporary Europe but in the Middle East, on the borders of India and Pakistan and in the vexed relationships between a rising China and its neighbours. The possibilities of lethal miscalculation exist in all these cases, though the ideologies of militarism and imperialism are, happily, far less prevalent than a century ago. Today, powerful states accept the idea that peace is more conducive to prosperity than the illusory spoils of war. Yet this does not, alas, mean the west is immune to elite failures. On the contrary, it is living with them. But its failures are of mismanaged peace, not war.

For the remainder of the essay go to:

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/cfc1eb1c-76d8-11e3-807e-00144feabdc0.html#axzz4EaXdjrIB

Date: May 17, 2016

Headline: Failing elites are to blame for unleashing Donald Trump

Sub-headline: A healthy republic requires a degree of mutual sympathy rather than equality

By Martin Wolf

Donald Trump will be the Republican candidate for president. He might even become president of the US. It is hard to exaggerate the significance and danger of this development. The US was the bastion of democracy and freedom in the 20th century. If it elected Mr Trump, a man with fascistic attitudes to people and power, the world would be transformed.

Mr Trump is a misogynist, a racist and a xenophobe. He glories in his own ignorance and inconsistency. Truth is whatever he finds convenient. His policy ideas are ludicrous, where they are not horrifying. Yet his attitudes and ideas are less disturbing than his character: he is a narcissist, bully and spreader of conspiracy theories. It is frightening to consider how such a man would use the powers at the disposal of the president.

Andrew Sullivan, the conservative commentator, recently wrote: “In terms of our liberal democracy and constitutional order, Trump is an extinction-level event.” He is right.

It might prove surprisingly easy for President Trump to find people willing to execute tyrannical orders or to compel the unwilling to do so. By exaggerating crises or creating them, a would-be despot can pervert judicial and political systems. The presidents of Russia and Turkey are skilful exemplars. The US has an entrenched constitutional order. But even this might buckle, particularly if the president enjoyed impeachment-proof support in Congress.

For the remainder of the essay go here:

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f27340fc-1848-11e6-b197-a4af20d5575e.html#axzz4EaXdjrIB

Date: July 16,2016

Headline : Elite Impunity and the Chilcot Report – Will Tony Blair Ever Go to Jail?

By Dr. Arshad M. Khan

What stands out in the British Iraq Inquiry (Chilcot) report is the sidestepping of the war crime issue. But then it was carefully placed outside its scope. This omission aside, the indictments remain, damning and morally appalling. Thus it confirms the war was launched on a false pretext. Major General Michael Laurie made plain in his testimony that Tony Blair’s notorious “dossier” was designed to persuade Members of Parliament to vote for the war: “We knew at the time that the purpose of the dossier was precisely to make a case for war rather than setting out the available evidence.” In this, he echoes CIA Director George Tenet’s notorious “slam dunk case.” So it was, a war based on hyped up intelligence instead of objective assessment; a fact clearly not overlooked by the inquiry when it concluded in its damming assessment (judgment?), that the invasion was not a “last resort” because peaceful options had not been exhausted.

Remainder of the essay:

http://www.globalresearch.ca/elite-impunity-and-the-chilcot-report-will-tony-blair-ever-go-to-jail/5536054

Date: June 25,2016

Headline: Brexit Is Only the Latest Proof of the Insularity and Failure of Western Establishment Institutions

By Glenn Greenwald

The decision by U.K. voters to leave the EU is such a glaring repudiation of the wisdom and relevance of elite political and media institutions that — for once — their failures have become a prominent part of the storyline. Media reaction to the Brexit vote falls into two general categories: (1) earnest, candid attempts to understand what motivated voters to make this choice, even if that means indicting their own establishment circles, and (2) petulant, self-serving, simple-minded attacks on disobedient pro-Leave voters for being primitive, xenophobic bigots (and stupid to boot), all to evade any reckoning with their own responsibility. Virtually every reaction that falls into the former category emphasizes the profound failures of Western establishment factions; these institutions have spawned pervasive misery and inequality, only to spew condescending scorn at their victims when they object.

Remainder of the essay here:

https://theintercept.com/2016/06/25/brexit-is-only-the-latest-proof-of-the-insularity-and-failure-of-western-establishment-institutions/

Regards,

StephenKMackSD

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b25fe8cc-4a6a-11e6-8d68-72e9211e86ab.html?hubRefSrc=email&utm_source=lfemail&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=lfnotification#ft-article-comments

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

At The Financial Times: François Heisbourg’s fear mongering about Nice, a comment by Almost Marx

François Heisbourg is an employee of a Think Tank that specializes in ‘Security’ issues, I don’t read French but just a look at their web site can lead to only one conclusion: he has a product to sell, his vaunted expertise. Yet his thesis that the attack in Nice and Breivik’s mass murder are somehow part of organized Terrorism, although not quite connected by the ascertainable facts of each case, is part of more self-serving fear mongering, by a profiteer presenting himself as possessing answers. To not just Terrorism by ISIS and other groups, but by ‘The Lone Wolves’ in our midst. An advanced case of paranoia in the service to the profit motive? And a tribute to the utter mendacity of The Financial Times as a reliable journalistic enterprise, or just an exercise in reckless political conformity of the moment? Never let a crisis go to waste is the motto of both Mr. Heisbourg and The Financial Times.

But wait, Mr. Heisbourg’s crime against truth, allied to a reification of his status as expert, ends with this bit of pandering merde :

‘But the real losers are the people who were killed or maimed in Nice, their families and with them all those who share the universal values for which France stands.’

Almost Marx

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b25fe8cc-4a6a-11e6-8d68-72e9211e86ab.html#axzz4EaXdjrIB

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

w.davies (@gold.ac.uk)

Mr. Davies makes more interesting and creative use of some of the available statistical data than did Jürgen Habermas in an interview reprinted at The Social Europe web site.
https://www.socialeurope.eu/2016/07/core-europe-to-the-rescue/
Habermas presents his statistical data as some how a form of argument, without an attempt to place it within a political/historical context.Perhaps the reader was supposed to intuit the existence of that context?
While Mr. Davies demonstrates a more informed and intelligent analysis of the Brexit vote, he still manages to sound the notes of Liberal paternalism, opining on the lower orders. With the really inexcusable mention of psychoanalysis, as somehow representative of a viable tool, in the search for the meaning as to the motives, the psyche of the Brexit voter. The scholarship is clear from Freud, Biologist of the Mind: Beyond the Psychoanalytic Legend to Freud’s Paranoid Quest,Psychoanalysis and Modern Suspicion: that Freud was huckster, a gifted  practitioner of self-aggrandizement. And then a discussion of ‘fact’.

What did eminent historian J.G.A. Pocock have to say about the Brexit?

J.G.A. Pocock

Profoundly anti-democratic and anti-constitutional, the EU obliges you to leave by the only act it recognises: the referendum, which can be ignored as a snap decision you didn’t really mean. If you are to go ahead, it must be by your own constitutional machinery: crown, parliament and people; election, debate and statute. This will take time and deliberation, which is the way decisions of any magnitude should be taken.

The Scots will come along, or not, deciding to live in their own history, which is not what the global market wants us to do. Avoid further referendums and act for yourselves as you know how to act and be.

http://www.lrb.co.uk/v38/n14/on-brexit/where-are-we-now

What effect did the Greek Crisis have on the Brexit voter. 4 time defaulter Germany led by Merkel treated the Greeks with utter contempt, as if they were really the leader of The Virtuous Norther Tier,  yet this object lesson does not merit inclusion in Mr Davies commentary. Just a confirmation of our writer’s own case of political myopia?

Brexit and the Facts

Almost Marx

 


 

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

@GustavAHorn @SocialEurope @hmeyer78 @andreasbotsch @boeckler_de

In this ‘interview’ conducted by fellow traveler Thomas Assheuer,  Habermas proves himself to be a Neo-Liberal, not a democrat, mitigated by Mr. Habermas’ penchant for    self-congratulatory intellectual garnish e.g….– in what Hegel would have called a valet’s perspective –…  Hegel was, after all, an Egalitarian and a Democrat. The EU was and is a cartel with the trappings of democracy i.e. Neo-Liberalism avant la lettre. What is utterly absent from this ‘interview’, for obvious political/strategic reasons, is the starkest object lesson, of how the 4 time defaulter Germany, led by Merkel and her economic truncheon the European Central Bank, treated the Greeks, this glaringly obvious point was not lost on British voters in the Referendum. Read Gillian Tett’s ‘A Debt to History’ published in, of all places, The Financial Times on Benjamin Friedman’s after dinner address :

For a couple of minutes Friedman then offered a brief review of western financial history, highlighting the unprecedented nature of Europe’s single currency experiment, and offering a description of sovereign and local government defaults in the 20th century. Then, with an edge to his voice, Friedman pointed out that one of the great beneficiaries of debt forgiveness throughout the last century was Germany: on multiple occasions (1924, 1929, 1932 and 1953), the western allies had restructured German debt.

So why couldn’t Germany do the same for others? “There is ample precedent within Europe for both debt relief and debt restructuring . . . There is no economic ground for Germany to be the only European country in modern times to be granted official debt relief on a massive scale and certainly no moral ground either.

“The supposed ability of today’s most heavily indebted European countries to reduce their obligations over time, even in relation to the scale of their economies, is likely yet another fiction,” he continued, warning of political unrest if this situation continued.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/927efd1e-9c32-11e4-b9f8-00144feabdc0.html

The Myth of The Virtuous Northern Tier and Germany as it’s leader shattered by an inconvenient bit of history? Mr. Habermas was a vocal defender of the ‘German Position’ against the profligate Southern Tier, recall the propaganda of the moment before the arch enemy of Populism became the specter haunting the West?

Mr. Habermas can’t resist the temptation to scold the British for their half-hardheartedness in regards to the EU, not to speak of their crime of self-interest:

The British had a decidedly liberal view of the EU as a free trade area and this was expressed in a policy of enlarging the EU without any simultaneous deepening of co-operation. No Schengen, no euro. The exclusively instrumental attitude of the political elite towards the EU was reflected in the campaign of the Remain camp. The half-hearted defenders of staying in the EU kept strictly to a project fear campaign armed with economic arguments. How could a pro-European attitude win over the broader population if political leaders behaved for decades as if a ruthlessly strategic pursuit of national interests was enough to keep you inside a supranational community of states. Seen from afar, this failure of the elites is embodied, very different and full of nuances as they are, in the two self-absorbed types of player known as Cameron and Johnson.

Here is Mr. Habermas in a mode of humility, that appears as intellectual self-deprecation in a nearly comic vein:

But my perspective is that of an engaged newspaper reader and I wonder if Merkel’s blanket policy of dulling everyone to sleep could have swept the country without a certain complicity on the part of the Press.

The pose of ‘an engaged newspaper reader’ is  politically self-serving and comic in the truest sense of the word.

In regards to European/German Journalism and it’s relation to the American Hegemon, Dr. Uno Ulfkotte offer some insights on this question, although Habermas might just view this as outside the province of respectable bourgeois opinion:

JournalistsforHireJuly82016

http://www.globalresearch.ca/editor-of-major-german-newspaper-says-he-planted-stories-for-the-cia/5429324

The reader has to sift through the chatter about the failed Referendum, to find key pieces of the evidence of the why of the defeat, and it’s demographic components, when in fact that is all there is in Habermas’ analysis: demographics. His ideological myopia.

To ‘solve’ the current crisis of the EU Mr. Habermas presents an undemocratic plan that gives priority to ‘Core Europe’ defined as what? Germany as one of that ‘core’ is unquestionable! Instead of a European Constitutional Convention that involves  ‘cacophonous circle of the 27 members of the European Council.’ Democracy is difficult and unmanageable and the natural antagonist of ‘Core Europe’. One might address Habermas with the imperative of ‘reform or die’!

The summoning of a convention that would lead to big treaty changes and referenda would only come to pass if the EU had made perceptible and convincing attempts to tackle its most urgent problems. The still-unresolved euro crisis, the long-term refugee problem and current security issues are now called urgent problems. But the mere descriptions of those facts are not even a consensus in the cacophonous circle of the 27 members of the European Council. Compromises can only be reached if the partners are ready to compromise and that means their interests shouldn’t be too divergent. This modicum of convergence of interests is what one can at best expect from members of the Eurozone. The crisis story of the common currency, whose origins have been thoroughly analysed by experts, closely ties these countries together for several years – albeit in an asymmetrical manner. Therefore, the Eurozone would delimit the natural size of a future core Europe. If these countries had the political will, then the basic principle of “closer cooperation” foreseen in the treaties would allow the first steps towards separating out such a core – and, with it, the long-overdue formation of a counterpart to the ministerial eurogroup inside the European Parliament.

There is almost a momentary breakthrough where the ideologue almost makes way for the philosopher, but we only catch a faint glimpse of his shadow, how refreshing is that glimpse and how utterly disappointing.

 How must a Spaniard, Portuguese or Greek feel if he has lost his job as a result of the policy of spending cuts decided by the European Council? He cannot arraign the German cabinet ministers who got their way with this policy in Brussels: he cannot vote them in or out of office. Instead of which, he could read during the Greek crisis that these very politicians angrily denied any responsibility for the socially disastrous consequences that they had casually taken on board with such programmes of cuts. As long as this undemocratic and faulty structure is not got rid of you can hardly be surprised at anti-European smear campaigns. The only way to get democracy in Europe is through a deepening of European co-operation.

If I read Mr. Habermas correctly, his anti-democratic vision of the EU : ‘Core Europe’ is the benighted future he imagines:

Therefore, the opposite side recommends the alternative of a deepened and binding co-operation within a smaller circle of states willing to cooperate. Such a Euro-Union has no need to seek out problems just to prove its own capacity to act. And, on the way thereto, the citizens will realize that such a core Europe will deal with those social and economic problems that lie behind the insecurity, the fear of societal decline and the feeling of losing control. Welfare state and democracy together form an inner nexus that in a currency union can no longer be secured by the individual nation state alone.

Compare Mr. Habermas’s comments on the Brexit from his German/European perspective, with that of  J.G.A. Pocock’s published in The London Review of Books:

JGAPococOnBrexitLondonReviewJuly102016

http://www.lrb.co.uk/v38/n14/on-brexit/where-are-we-now

Philosophical Apprentice

https://www.socialeurope.eu/2016/07/core-europe-to-the-rescue/

 

 

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

At The New York Times: Tweedledum and Tweedledee or Arthur C. Brooks & Gail Collins on 1968 Redux

Arthur C. Brooks has just awoken from a very long Neo-Liberal slumber to find the USA about to burst into political flame,1968 style. Although Mr. Brooks was born in 1964, this reader was there and witnessed it first hand! Mr. Brooks is also the author of the Conservative Heart, an unconvincing work of political fiction, which attempts to put a human face upon greed. Ayn Rand would have held his pandering to ‘altruism’ in utter contempt. He is a an inept propagandist. Here is opening statement, the as if being that somehow he ‘cares’ about African-American lives. The ‘Bottom Line’ for Neo-Liberals is profit before people e.g. Hayek, Mises, Friedman and their epigones at AEI.

ABrookson1968HystericsJuly122016

Mr. Brooks and his fellow Conservative Technocrats, at the American Enterprise Institute, are in fact hostile to the idea of Civil Rights, as the very notion puts the Market in last place, to the idea and practice of the primacy of civic republican virtue. Mr. Brooks assignment is the production of self-exculpatory propaganda. But here he soft pedals it in his  conversation with Gail Collins, ‘our team historian’. An homage to bourgeois political respectability is the New York Times reason d’etre. Ms. Collins never fails to be an unimaginative political bore as she prattles on.

Gail: Maybe it’s because I’m now on the other side of the generation gap, but despite the terrible moments in 1968, the situation in 1968 seemed more hopeful — the country was turning against the war in Vietnam, the civil rights movement had come of age and the women’s movement was blooming.

Now it feels as if we’re almost post-hope. I suppose it’s totally futile to mention guns. I’m sure you read the story in our paper about the 20 to 30 marchers in Dallas who were openly carrying assault-style rifles during the demonstration that ended with the shooting. Which is legal in Texas.

Populism now becomes Mr. Brooks focus:

Arthur: There was also a huge amount of distrust of public officials and a rise in political populism, both of which also look familiar these days. I want to get to that in a minute, but before we do, tell me — based on what we learned from 1968 — what our country and leaders need to do right now.

Mr. Brooks follows the political lead of The Economist and The Financial Times, and points the accusing finger at the dread Populism,of both Left and Right, as a political creature out of nowhere, rather that the product of the complete failure of a Neo-Liberalism, that Mr. Brooks and his army of political technocrats defend to this day.

Never fear, Mr. Brooks places himself in the same category as Thomas Friedman,dull witted apologist for a failed Utopianism: recall his infamous ‘suck on this’ comment uttered without shame, or even without challenge from the equally addled Charlie Rose?

Arthur: I definitely count Sanders as a populist, just a very left-wing one. Populism comes in many flavors, sort of like Ben & Jerry’s. Some people like Socialist Swirl. Others prefer Chocolate Chip Autarky.

No big shock that Trump is trolling for Sanders supporters because that takes strength directly from Clinton. And no shock Sanders is endorsing Clinton; she’s closer to his policy views and he can pull her closer to his. Although I imagine Sanders will enjoy stumping for Clinton about as much as he’d enjoy two scoops of asparagus ice cream.

Almost Marx

 

 

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

At The London Review of Books: Where are we now? Responses to the Referendum, some comments by Political Observer

The first to comment in this collection of small essays  on the Brexit Vote is David Runciman.It is a myopic political analysis filled with data and a special pleading for Proportional  Representation, that functions argumentatively as some kind of answer to the vexing question of these kinds of Referendums, if I am reading it with comprehension. It seems not quite relevant, except for the policy technocrat or even as just rhetorical ballast?

What seems to have  escaped the attention of Mr. Runciman is the starkest kind of object lesson, not lost on the British voter, of the treatment by Merkel and The European Central Bank of Greece. Now the fact that Germany was a four time defaulter in the 20th Century was the subject of a Financial Times essay by Gillian Tett:

Headline: A debt to history?

Sub-headline: To some, Germany faces a moral duty to help Greece, given the aid that it has previously enjoyed

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/927efd1e-9c32-11e4-b9f8-00144feabdc0.html

That the story of Greece remains outside Mr. Runciman’s  narrative is unsurprising. For those patient enough to read through this essay, here Mr. Runciman shows himself to be New Labour, without doubt:

What about Corbyn? I don’t believe that a different leader, fighting a more full-throated campaign, would have made much difference to the final outcome: most Labour voters went for Remain anyway and many of those who didn’t were sufficiently alienated to be resistant to all persuasion. Nevertheless, if Labour had had a different leader there’s a good chance we wouldn’t be in this mess. Yvette Cooper might have been no better at convincing people in Labour’s heartlands to turn out in support of an unloved and distant institution – she might well have been worse – but she would have been far better at convincing the Tory government to think a bit harder about the risks it was running in holding the referendum, including the risk of defeat at a subsequent general election…

Or this rather obtuse jab at Corbyn :’ It forced the entire Labour movement to line up behind a leader who was not competent to lead them.’

For an antidote to Mr. Runciman’s dry post-mortem read  Neal Ascherson’s essay, next in line, for a more historically informed and adroit, not to speak of tart, dismissal of both the Remain and the Leave camps, framed by this wonderfully vivid opening paragraph :

This is the third time the island has given notice to Europe. The first brief and bloody, the second powerful and long-lasting, the third stupid and calamitous. A Dutch marine officer in the Roman forces called M. Mausaeus Carausius tried it in 286. He proclaimed himself emperor, beat off imperial expeditions crossing the Channel and struck a great many silver and copper coins with his bearded face on them. Like the Leave campaigners, he told the Brits that together they would ‘take their country back’ (‘Restitutor Britanniae’). He had ‘Genius Britanniae’ stamped on his coins, along with quotes from Virgil. Carausius, seen by some romantic Victorians as the pioneer of British independence, didn’t last long. He was murdered by his chancellor of the exchequer, a certain Allectus, in 293. Soon afterwards, Britain was back in Roman Europe.

T.J. Clark

I voted Leave, without enthusiasm, mainly because I had promised to do so in Greece last July. What Dijsselbloem and Schäuble did to Greece back then seemed an indication of what the EU was truly for. It remains our best clue to how ‘Europe’ would act if a left government, of a nation less hopelessly enfeebled than post-Pasok Greece or post-Blair-and-Brown Britain, dared, say, to resist TTIP’s final promulgation of the neoliberal rule of law. Certainly the relevant point of comparison for the 17 million Leave votes is the No to ‘austerity’ registered by the Greeks, again in the face of all respectable opinion, a year ago. And everything will now be done, as then, to make sure the scandal of democratic refusal doesn’t get in the way of business. I have no doubt that already, behind the smokescreen of Article 50, Dijsselbloem and Schäuble’s intermediaries are sitting down with Carney and Osborne to settle the outlines of the no-but-on-the-other-hand-not-really.

Global capitalism, in other words, is inconvenienced by the verdict from the UK zones of sacrifice, and naively disdainful of it, but well equipped to cope with the casualties’ ingratitude. It will soldier on. The intelligentsia can be depended on to froth in its favour. Facebook, an American friend tells me, ‘has become an unbearable liberal wailing wall’. Conversations with young Southern European immigrants in London – one recently with a Bulgarian woman sticks in the mind – are a welcome reality check. They know all too well what the ‘free movement of labour’ means for people like them, and how much the discipline of the euro is responsible for driving them north. No lessons in the mechanics of wage suppression or Deutsche Bundesbank’s anti-Keynesianism are needed.

Political Observer

http://www.lrb.co.uk/v38/n14/on-brexit/where-are-we-now

https://www.patreon.com/StephenKMackSD

 

 

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

At The Financial Times: Simon Kuper’s Political Palace Gossip & The Working Class, a comment by Almost Marx

After all the back biting gossip and display of ‘Class Disloyalty’, as entertaining as it was, Mr. Kuper bends low, to defend the coming economic consequences of the Brexit’s effect, on the wage earner whose £20,000 per year will be reduced to  £15,000 producing hungry children.

Now Britain seems headed for recession. When I mentioned this in an email to a privately educated Oxford friend, he chastised me: “You seem unduly concerned about short-term financial impacts. This is a victory for democracy.” I see what he means. If you make £200,000 a year, a recession is just an irritation. But if you make £20,000, it’s a personal crisis, and if you now make £15,000, then soon you may be struggling to feed your children.

Anyway, the public schoolboys have already moved on, first backstabbing each other and now extracting favours from their preferred candidates in the Tory leadership election. “May I count on your vote?” What fun!

One almost expects an extemporaneous riff on the phrase ‘are there no work houses’ to be uttered, to engage in the hyperbolic.But surely, a Newspaper whose readership is the very Elite, whose utter failures across generations, has caused misery and privation starting with Mrs Thatcher, might exercise a bit more usable self-critique, rather than an exercise in political palace gossip allied to more of the same Brexit hysterics/histrionics?

Almost Marx

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/f4dedd92-43c7-11e6-b22f-79eb4891c97d.html

https://www.patreon.com/StephenKMackSD

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

At The Financial Times: The New Cold War is still with us, 2 ‘News Reports’& An Editorial, a comment by Political Realist

With the Brexit vote now an established fact, a crushing but momentary  defeat to the Neo-Liberal Cameron’s political ambition , the manufactured Labour  Antisemitism crisis in the momentary stasis of ‘investigation’, and Corbyn firmly established as leader of the Party, The Financial Times can now give time to another of its propaganda obsessions: Putin as the New Stalin, and his ‘belligerence’ as chronicled in its pages. Two news stories and an editorial mark a return to this journalistic business as usual, the NATO Summit of July 8, 2016 being the subject of the editorial.

Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Vulcan Zakheim attacks Dove Bacevich, some thoughts by Political Reporter

Kudos to Mr. Bacevich. He has managed to evoke from one of The Vulcans a shrill defensive polemic, which at times recovers itself to make some trenchant but short lived observations, in which this policy maker defends not just the catastrophically failed War on Terror but the whole of American Foreign Policy, post World War II. Not to speak of his defense of his fellow Vulcans, like Paul Wolfowitz, while not forgetting his disrespectful treatment of ‘Douglas J. Feith, merely the eighth-ranking civilian official in the Pentagon’.

In these two quoted paragraphs from Bacevich’s book, this soldier/historian make clear beyond doubt his value as that rarest of civic actors/thinkers. Mr. Zakheim continually makes the mistake of quoting Bacevich at his most revelatory:

“the vacuum left by . . . [the British]; intractable economic backwardness and political illegitimacy; divisions within Islam compounded by the rise of Arab nationalism; the founding of Israel; and the advent of the Iranian Revolution.” …

“Schwarzkopf [the field commander who led the operation against Saddam] . . . shared MacArthur’s penchant for theatrics. As with Patton, maintaining his emotional balance required a constant struggle. Like Eisenhower, Schwarzkopf had a volcanic temper. . . . And like the thin-skinned Bradley, he was quick to take offense at any perceived slight. Generalship in wartime requires foresight, equanimity, and a supple intelligence.”

The latter of these quotations evokes this observation:

Apparently, these were qualities that MacArthur, Patton, Eisenhower and Bradley—those failed commanders of yesteryear—all did not possess.

Amidst the dross of political defensiveness Mr. Zakheim provides an answer to a reader’s search for a plausible reason for his polemic, for it’s bluntness is again instructive:

Bacevich considers the Clinton administration’s response to Al Qaeda’s bombing of both the World Trade Center in 1993 and the USS Cole in 2000 to have been laughable. But he reserves most of his spleen for the Bush administration’s wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Of the team of veteran policymakers that Bush brought with him into office, Bacevich writes, “They arrived knowing everything they needed to know. They just didn’t know enough to avert a horrific attack on the World Trade Center.” Certainly counterterrorism czar Dick Clarke, in particular, tried to warn of an impending Al Qaeda attack on an American target, but Bacevich goes too far in conveying the impression that Bush and his national-security team somehow could have both forecast the exact nature of 9/11 and prevented it and that, therefore, someone should have “lost his or her job . . . [been] reprimanded or demoted.” As the 9/11 Commission made clear, the failure was systemic, not individual.

Mr. Zakheim  and his fellow Vulcans were part of a ‘systemic failure’, this destructive myopia  about 9/11, then takes on a rhetorical life as a sub rosa ‘reason’ for the crimes of Afghanistan and Iraq?

And what is always de rigueur, for the Vulcan menage, a pseudo-defense of the IDF.

Bacevich claims that once initial combat operations had ended, and the American military confronted a growing insurrection and civil war, it adopted the “get tough” posture of the Israeli Defense Forces. Bacevich argues that the IDF’s tactics “reflected an Israeli determination to maintain a permanent grip on the West Bank,” while the similar practices of American forces “raised the specter of the United States maintaining permanent control of Iraq.” He is wrong on both counts. The IDF has never taken a political position on retention of the West Bank, no doubt because much, if not most, of its officer corps supports a two-state solution. IDF tactics, while harsh, and perhaps too harsh, have always been intended to deter future acts of terrorism; on balance, Israel does a much better job in this regard than, for example, Western European forces. In any event, just as the IDF’s operations have no impact on Israeli political decisions regarding the future of the occupied territories, so American counterinsurgency operations in Iraq were in no way a signal of American long-term intentions. Indeed, as Bacevich himself points out, it was George W. Bush who signed an agreement for the withdrawal of American combat troops from that country.

The next two paragraphs Zakheim alludes to his argued stance of a demonstrable political paranoia manifested by Mr. Bacevich: about the  breadth and depth of Vulcan political machination, as if The Project for a New American Century’s manifesto was not easily accessible to even the most incurious of readers.

One claim in particular goes to the heart of Bacevich’s argument. Buttressed by no source higher than Douglas J. Feith, merely the eighth-ranking civilian official in the Pentagon, Bacevich alleges that Iraq was only a prelude to greater things—the remaking of the Middle East via the overthrow of the likes of Qaddafi and Syria’s Bashar al-Assad. Beyond the fact that Feith did not necessarily speak for his Defense Department superiors—and certainly did not speak for the White House—his list of targets did not include Egypt’s Mubarak, the Gulf kingdoms and emirates, and the kings of Jordan and Morocco, for the simple reason that these countries and their rulers were all allied to Washington and, in the case of Egypt and Jordan, had peace treaties with Israel.

Bacevich does quote “one Bush Administration official,” who says, “The road to the entire Middle East goes through Baghdad.” But who was that official? And how senior was he or she? We don’t know, and Bacevich doesn’t tell. In a similar vein, his criticism of the Iraq War, as with many of his assertions throughout the book, relies far too heavily on pundits and columnists. He cites journalists as sources for what policymakers thought (Bob Woodward, whose own books have no notes, is a particular favorite) and employs them as putative spokesmen for a government in which they never served. In this regard, Max Boot in particular is a frequent Bacevich foil. Unfortunately, Bacevich’s passionate opposition to the war simply overwhelms what might otherwise have been a reasonable critique of an operation that most analysts now agree was woefully misdirected from its very inception.

Then we as readers reach the long awaited denouement of Mr. Zakheim  polemic, which doesn’t even surprise, as part of the Vulcan rhetorical set piece of Munich, always Munich:

He blames Obama for not ending the “War for the Greater Middle East,” and for expanding and perpetuating it by surging troops to Afghanistan, a place that he describes as, in words that echo Neville Chamberlain’s shameful characterization of Czechoslovakia, “a distant country about which most Americans knew little and cared even less.”

Then this rather surprising argument by Mr. Zakheim about the vexed question of the ‘judgement’ of Obama, Petraeus and McChrystal, made by a policy technocrat with no military experience- it is astounding in its rhetorical assurance of some self-proclaimed insight base in an imagined empiricism? Not to speak of the revelations of Petraeus’  undeniable incompetence!

He assails David Petraeus, “arguably the most overtly political senior military officer . . . since MacArthur” for launching a “veiled challenge to the authority of the commander in chief” by publicly supporting Gen. Stanley McChrystal’s case for a counterinsurgency strategy in Afghanistan. Bacevich goes on to say that Petraeus and McChrystal successfully pressured “the green-as-grass commander in chief without personal military experience” to surge more troops into Afghanistan. Yet the green-as-grass Obama did not hesitate to sack McChrystal over an interview with Rolling Stone magazine, pressure or no. That Obama not only did not fire Petraeus, but appointed him to head the CIA, clearly demonstrates how Bacevich has misunderstood the president’s relationship with his generals.

The next four paragraphs in Mr. Zakheim’s polemic is devoted to Bacevich’s criticism of  Obama’s Foreign Policy: this paragraph offer some valuable insights that almost emancipates itself from the polemical dross:

Bacevich rightly criticizes Obama’s posture, or more accurately, the absence thereof, vis-à-vis the Syrian Civil War. As he puts it, “Libya represented a model of thoughtful planning and competent execution in comparison with Obama’s one other foray into regime change [namely, Syria].” Once again, he offers no new insights, much less alternatives to Obama’s policies. Moreover, his argument that the administration’s use of drones and special-operations forces against Islamic terrorists in Yemen, Somalia and elsewhere is a sign of the administration’s “confusion” seems itself confused. What might intervention in Syria have to do with fighting terrorists elsewhere? The former, if fully implemented, could have resulted in regime change; the latter actually is in support of regimes seeking to govern their unruly nations.

Yet this rhetorical mood is dispelled by a return to polemic:

In any event, Obama’s worst sin appears to have been a willingness to reinsert American forces into Iraq. After having asserted, inaccurately, that “the last non-U.S. foreign troop contingents pull[ed] out of Iraq during the summer of 2009” (the British stayed on until mid-2011), Bacevich asks, “Why did Washington choose to reengage militarily in Iraq?” He answers, “Because it couldn’t think of anything better to do.” It is as if the emergence of ISIS as a new terrorist state, with an expanding geographical base and recruits from the world over, including the United States, should not have merited an American response. Once again, Bacevich offers no new real insights, other than to criticize whatever Obama and his team have done.

The last sentence of this  quoted paragraph takes a stance against the very reason and practice of criticism:  ‘Once again, Bacevich offers no new real insights, other than to criticize whatever Obama and his team have done.’ The purpose of Mr. Zakheim’s self-apologetical propaganda is take the onus off his failed policies, to call those policies calamitous is not to engage in hyperbole, but to engage and put that onus on an irresponsible critic, not vested in the self-evident Vulcan Tribalism. Revile and cast out the nonconformist. Look to the concluding paragraphs of Mr. Zakheim’s essay, for the proof of that defamation of Mr. Bacevich: His anger is still there; his insights are unoriginal; and his policy prescriptions are as superficial as they ever were. Shades of Donald Trump.

A RESPECTED military historian recently remarked to me that Bacevich constantly rewrites the same book. He has a point. In recent years Bacevich has written The Limits of Power: The End of American Exceptionalism (2009); Washington Rules: America’s Path to Permanent War (2011); The New American Militarism: How Americans Are Seduced by War (2013); and Breach of Trust: How Americans Failed Their Soldiers and Their Country (2014). Bacevich’s latest volume is simply a rehashing and updating of these other books.

There is considerable merit to the argument that the United States needs to be more discriminating in its involvement in overseas conflicts, particularly civil wars that pose no clear threat to America’s vital national interests. Over the past several decades, the United States has been far too prone to intervene in the internal affairs of other countries, often to remove and replace their leaders. On the other hand, the very fact that Americans have grown tired of overseas conflicts, and that Obama for all his faults—and there are many—at least prefers not to enmesh the country in new foreign adventures, belies the assertion that America is addicted to armed intervention in the Islamic world. But Bacevich suffers from his own addiction: he cannot bring himself to modify the case against America and its “establishment” that he has been making year after year. His anger is still there; his insights are unoriginal; and his policy prescriptions are as superficial as they ever were. Shades of Donald Trump.

Political Reporter

http://nationalinterest.org/feature/bacevichs-middle-east-misdiagnosis-everyone-terrible-16829?page=show

https://www.patreon.com/StephenKMackSD

 

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment