Political Observer comments.

Demographics and population

Headline: Declining fertility rates will transform global economy, report says

Sub-headline: The proportion of births in low-income countries projected to nearly double to 35 per cent by 2100

Falling fertility rates in most countries over the next quarter century will drive a global demographic shift that will have a far-reaching social and economic impact, according to a new study.

Three-quarters of nations are projected to fall below population replacement birth rates by 2050, leaving growth concentrated in a minority of low-income states in sub-Saharan Africa and Asia that face acute threats from resource shortages and climate change.

The research published in The Lancet medical journal on Wednesday highlights the ever-sharper divide between the countries still powering population growth and those where birth numbers are dwindling.

…

https://www.ft.com/content/318ff981-d189-4bd6-b608-a9709097eedc

What @FT is really telling its privileged white readership, is that the Deluge of Immigrants from America’s ‘War on Terror’ was just the beginning of the end of ‘The Myth of the West’, as the sine qua non of Anglo-European Humanity! Oswald Spengler, Leo Strauss and the Neo-Liberal trinity of Mises/Hayek/Friedman are/were the grave diggers of this toxic Mythology?

Supported by revelatory Maps and Charts, and further paragraphs of the unwelcome news offered by two Technocrats:

“We are facing staggering social change through the 21st century,” said Stein Emil Vollset, the paper’s senior author and a professor at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. “The world will be simultaneously tackling a ‘baby boom’ in some countries and a ‘baby bust’ in others.”

The study of 204 countries and territories forecasts 76 per cent will dip below population replacement rates by 2050 — a number that will rise to 97 per cent by 2100. The proportion of live births in low-income countries is projected to all but double from 18 per cent in 2021 to 35 per cent by the end of the century. Sub-Saharan African countries are forecast to account for half of global births by 2100.

“The implications are immense,” said Natalia Bhattacharjee, co-lead author of the study and lead research scientist at IHME. “These future trends in fertility rates and live births will completely reconfigure the global economy and the international balance of power — and will necessitate reorganising societies.”

The Reader might wonder, and ask the vexing question who will be in charge of ‘the necessary reorganization of societies’ ? The indispensable Technocrats featured in this essay would be the obvious choice? The Reader need only look to the sub-headline to come to terms with the future. The Global South’s birth rate is set to double by 2100.

The proportion of births in low-income countries projected to nearly double to 35 per cent by 2100

Political Observer